⚠️ FORECASTS OF COUNTRIES AND HOLIDAY ISLANDS FROM NORWAY FOR 5.07/XNUMX ⚠️
Norway has clearly defined the rules for recognizing a country or region as green. In this post, you'll learn my predictions based on the data so far. All data will most likely be available on July 1.07, FHI will announce the list on July 1-2.07 for government approval. We can expect acceptance by July 4.07, but we should receive a certain list already on July 2.07.
⚠️ WHAT DOES IT MEAN THAT A COUNTRY IS GREEN?
This means you can come from there to Norway without quarantine. Residents of this country can come to Norway as tourists or for any other purpose without entry restrictions. This means, above all, that you can freely go there on holiday.
⚠️ WHAT ARE THE CRITERIA FOR GREEN STATES?
For a country to be green, it must have a rate of less than 14 new cases per 5.07 inhabitants or less than 14.06 new cases per 27.06 inhabitants and less than 50% of positive tests during this period (on July 100.000, data will be collected from June 75 to June 100.000).
⚠️ FORECASTS
Forecasts are as of July 5.07. On this day, it will be possible to change the color of selected countries to green (and red) and the consequences associated with it.
Norway collects data for selected countries regionally: Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, and for the rest relative to the entire country. According to the announcement, some islands were to be separated from states. Based on the data that can be obtained, it can be assumed (I would like to emphasize that this is only an assumption) that these will be: Balearic Islands (Mallorca, Minorca, Ibiza), Canary Islands, Madeira, Sicily, Sardinia, Crete, Ionian Islands (Corfu, Zakynthos), Islands North Aegean (Samos, Lesvos) and South Aegean (Kos), Corsica. I will only comment on the regions of Sweden and Denmark.
Data are downloaded from ECDC from the main FHI source. Data taken based on daily statistics, which may be slightly adjusted. Current list of countries with forecasts:
Austria – 20/100.000 – green
Belgium – 38/100.000 – green
Bulgaria – 18/100.000 – green
Croatia – 27/100.000 – green
Cyprus – 159/100.000 – red
Czech Republic – 16/100.000 – green
Denmark – regionally rated: 55/100.000
Estonia – 35/100.000 - green
Finland – regionally rated: 22/100.00
France – 46/100.000 – green, but it is on the border, depends on the trend
Germany – 14/100.000 – green
Greece – 56/100.000, positive tests approx. 0,1% – green
Hungary – 12/100.000 - green
Iceland – 6/100.000 – green
Ireland – 82/100.000 – red
Italy – 23/100.000 – green
Latvia – 64/100.000, positive tests approx. 1% – at the border
Lithuania – 33/100.000 – green
Luxembourg – 31/100.000 – green
Malta – 5/100.000 – green
Netherlands – 64/100.000, 3% of positive tests – red
Poland – 6/100.000 – green
Portugal – 158/100.000 – red
Romania – 5/100.000 – green
Slovakia – 20/100.000 – green
Slovenia – 43/100.000 – green
Spain – 103/100.000 – red
Sweden – regionally rated: 42/100.000
Indicators of selected islands and regions:
Denmark - North (ferries to Kristiansand, Stavanger, Bergen, Langesund): the rate is highest in NOK, so you can expect the region to still be red.
Sweden – Skåne (ferries from Świnoujście): at the border, there is a chance for a green one
Last week's indicators for the islands:
Balearic Islands (Mallorca, Menorca, Ibiza): 41: there is a chance for green
Canaries: 92: rather red
Madeira: 35: there is a chance for green
Sicily: 61: there is a chance for green
Sardinia: 15: rather green
Crete: 64: rather red
Ionian Islands (Corfu, Zakynthos): 46 chances for green
North Aegean Islands (Samos, Lesbos): 38 chances for green
South Aegean Islands (Kos): 72 rather red
Corsica: 23 rather green
You can find similar forecasts on vg.no. These forecasts only serve as an indication of where the probability of going green is high and where it is low. They should not be used as an indicator of where to buy tickets. I recommend buying tickets after the official announcement. You will find them here shortly after the announcement by FHI or the government.
– complete set of quarantine regulations: https://www.facebook.com/KsiegowyNorwegia/posts/507938730646611 – I recommend taking a look here, as most of the answers to your questions are here.
– Please follow me on Insta: https://www.instagram.com/ksiegowynorwegia/
source: https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
